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Forex Trading




WHAT IS THE FOREX MARKET?


WHAT IS FOREX TRADING?


WHAT IS A FOREX BROKER?


What Is The Forex Market

Foreign exchange (also known as forex or FX) refers to the global, over-the-counter market (OTC) where traders, investors, institutions and banks, exchange speculate on, buy and sell world currencies. Trading is conducted over the ‘interbank market’, an online channel through which currencies are traded 24 hours a day, five days a week. Forex is one of the largest trading markets, with a global daily turnover estimated to exceed US$5 trillion.

What Is Forex Trading?

Forex trading is the act of buying or selling currencies. Banks, central banks, corporations, institutional investors and individual traders exchange foreign currency for a variety of reasons, including balancing the markets, facilitating international trade and tourism, or making a profit. Currency is traded in pairs, in both spot and futures markets. The value of a currency pair is driven by economic, political and environmental factors, such as wars, natural disasters, or national elections.

What is a forex broker?

Brokers act as intermediaries, facilitating trades by providing clients access to the 24-hour interbank in order to conduct trades.

Understanding Currency Pairs

All transactions made on the forex market involve the simultaneous purchasing and selling of two currencies. These are called ‘currency pairs’, and include a base currency and a quote currency. The display below shows the forex pair EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar), one of the most common currency pairs used on the forex market.


What are the most traded currency pairs on the forex market?

There are seven Major currency pairs on the forex market. Other brackets include Crosses and Exotic currency pairs, which are less commonly traded and all relatively illiquid (i.e., not easily exchanged for cash).



MAJOR PAIRS

Major pairs are the most commonly traded, and account for nearly 80% of trade volume on the forex market. These currency pairs could typically have low volatility and high liquidity.

They are associated with stable, well managed economies, are less susceptible to manipulation and have smaller spreads than other pairs.

CROSSES

Cross currency pairs – Crosses – are pairs that do not include the USD. Historically, Crosses were converted first into USD and then into the desired currency, but are now offered for direct exchange.

The most commonly traded are derived from Minor currency pairs (eg. EUR/GBP, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY); they are typically less liquid and more volatile than Major currency pairs.

EXOTIC PAIRS

Exotics are currencies from emerging or smaller economies, paired with a Major. Compared to Crosses and Majors, Exotics are much riskier to trade because they are less liquid, more volatile, and more susceptible to manipulation.

They also contain wider spreads, and are more sensitive to sudden shifts in political and financial developments.

Non-Farm Payroll

The non-farm payroll (NFP) report is a key economic indicator for the United States. It is intended to represent the total number of paid workers in the U.S. minus farm employees, government employees, private household employees and employees of nonprofit organizations.

The non-farm payroll report causes one of the consistently largest rate movements of any news announcement in the forex market. As a result, many analysts, traders, funds, investors and speculators anticipate the NFP number and the directional movement it will cause. With so many different parties watching this report and interpreting it, even when the number comes in line with estimates, it can cause large rate swings. Learn how to trade this move without getting knocked out by the irrational volatility it can create.

KEY TAKEAWAYS

  • Non-farm payrolls (NFP) are an important economic indicator related to employment in the U.S.
  • Understanding this data release can help set up forex trades to take advantage of unexpected changes in employment.
  • Technical analysis can be employed to the NFP report using 5- or 15-minute chart intervals.

Analyzing the Non-Farm Report Numbers

Like any other piece of economic data, there are three ways to analyze the U.S. non-farm payroll number:

  • A higher payroll figure is good for the U.S. economy. This is because more job additions help to contribute to healthier and more robust economic growth. Consumers who have both money and a job tend to spend more, leading to growth. As a result, foreign exchange traders and investors look for a positive addition of at least 100,000 jobs per month. Any release above—let's say 200,000—will help to fuel U.S. dollar gains. An above-consensus estimate release will have the same effect.
  • An expected change in payroll figure causes a mixed reaction in the currency markets. Forex investors witnessing an expected change in the NFP report will turn to other sub-components and items to gain some sort of direction or insight. This includes the unemployment rate and manufacturing payroll sub-component. So, if the unemployment rate drops or manufacturing payrolls rise, currency traders will side with a stronger dollar, a positive for the U.S. economy. But, should the unemployment rate increase, manufacturing jobs decline, investors will drop the U.S. dollar for other currencies.
  • A lower payroll figure is detrimental for the U.S. economy. Like any other economic report, a lower employment picture is negative for the world's largest economy and the greenback. Should the NFP report show a decline below 100,000 jobs (or a less-than-estimated print), it's a good sign the U.S. economy isn't growing. As a result, Forex traders will favor higher yielding currencies against the U.S. dollar.

The NFP Trading Strategy

The NFP report generally affects all major currency pairs, but one of the favorites among traders is the GBP/USD. Because the forex market is open 24 hours a day, all traders have the ability to trade the news event.

The logic behind the strategy is to wait for the market to digest the information's significance. After the initial swings have occurred, and after market participants have had a bit of time to reflect on what the number means, they will enter a trade in the direction of the dominating momentum. They wait for a signal indicating the market may have chosen a direction to take rates. This avoids getting in too early and decreases the probability of being whipsawed out of the market before it has chosen a direction.

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